Monday, January 14, 2013

The Daily Cannibal

The Daily Cannibal


Million Dollar Medals

Posted: 13 Jan 2013 10:49 PM PST

The possibility of minting a trillion-dollar coin to cover our debts has now publicly been abjured by the administration, which betokens a refreshing burst of realism.  But there is a kernel of an idea here that we think should not be overlooked.

Mr. Obama has long argued that the wealthy are not doing their fair share, to the bewilderment of the folks whose income taxes foot most of the nation’s bills that aren’t paid by IOUs.  And, of course, those IOUs will be largely paid by these same folks, or their kindred somewhere down the road.

Still, there is a way the wealthy can further improve the nation’s finances.  Take that trillion dollar coin idea and whittle it down some, and you come up with an interesting proposition.  I suggest the following:

That the Treasury mint and issue coins in denominations of $1 billion, $100 million, $10 million and $1 million.   These coins would be offered to all buyers worldwide.  To avoid creating a superliquid and untraceable money-laundering token, the coins themselves would be held physically by the Treasury, with certificates of ownership provided to the buyers.  This should prove no impediment to their acceptance, as all treasury debt instruments — bills, notes and bonds — exist only as electronic records; physical certificates went by the wayside some years ago.

The coins, of course, would pay no interest.  They would, however, be instantly liquid — that is, they can be converted into ordinary dollar deposits at any depository – banks, brokerage firms, etc. — at any time.  But while they are on deposit in the Treasury, they play the same role as the trillion dollar coin:  they provide the Treasury with cost-free capital that can be used to pay bills, at no interest expense to the taxpayers.  Sell enough of them, and the benefit to the  American people is huge.

So — what’s the attraction?  Why would anyone give up interest on a large sum of money?

Three reasons:  patriotism, prestige and profit.  The first will hardly sell a coin.  The second will sell some,  The third is a killer.  And as an added inducement, buyers could be permitted to deduct the interest they lose from their gross income. While this would result in a small reduction in tax revenue, the interest payment it replaces would be at least twice as large, so there would still be a considerable net gain for the Treasury.

Here’s the deal:

Patriotism:  as we said, forget it.  Won’t move a coin.

Prestige?  Well, along with the coin will come a little rosette — you know, those tiny round silk buttons you sometimes see on suit lapels?  Usually they indicate a high honor – the Order of Merit, for example.   People who buy these coins will be given a metal rosette in colors and a distinctive design keyed to the amount of their coin, which they would display on their lapels the same way politicians now almost invariably wear flag pins.  With any luck, the pins would become de rigeur in the haut-liberal ultra-high net worth set — Hollywood moguls and stars, hedge fund progressives, and so on.  While pure patriotism may not drive even Warren Buffett to make such a purchase, the notion of an ultra-exclusive status might.  Vanity and prestige often move money into some silly places — megayachts come to mind — and an irrefutable badge of public-spirited, doing-my-share altruism may become quite the rage.

And profit?  Just as politicians now feel obliged to sport the national flag on their lapels, those seeking to do business with any — any – public enterprise, be it a town, city, state, state or federal agency, the defense department, and so on –  might well be advised to show up at the meeting with the appropriate decoration somewhere displayed.  (We’re not sure what to do for the women — a discreet brooch, perhaps.)  And here we point out that these coins could be purchased by corporations as well as individuals — with the corporate CEO authorized to wear the decoration.  Should GE, for example, consider a billion dollar purchase?  Boeing?  Bechtel?  It just seems — you know — the least they could do.

The coins carry no risk.  The treasury can easily liquidate the coins without any damage to its balance sheet, as long as such liquidations don’t come all at once. And if they do?  Some kind of panic, pperhaps?  Well, the Treasury can then do what iit would have done to obtain the funds in the first place — issue bonds to cover the redemption.

Okay, it sounds silly, but we think it could work.   And it’s certainly not asking too much of the well-off to slip an interest-free loan to their country in its time of need.  After all — it’s only their fair share.

Fun Facts On Guns

Posted: 13 Jan 2013 08:35 PM PST

From the FBI Uniform Crime Reports, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and Gallup, some facts — real facts, not opinions dressed up as facts, which is a very popular sport these days:

  • Both in 2001 and in 2011, 41 percent of U.S. households reported owning guns. Broken down by region and in both years, 52 percent of households in the South, 48 percent of households in the Midwest and 29 percent of households in the East reported owning a gun.  The rate of gun ownership has not changed in the past decade.
  •  In states with lower gun ownership rates, there were more robberies at gunpoint (39.5 per 100,000 people) than there were in states with higher gun ownership rates (30.1).
  • The firearm murder rate was slightly higher in the states with higher gun ownership rates (2.9 per 100,000 population) than in the states with lower gun ownership rates (2.7 per 100,000). But the overall murder rate was almost identical (4.3 per 100,000).
  • In 1980, there were 6.4 firearm-related homicides for every 100,000 people in the United States. By 2008 (the last year for which data are available), the rate had fallen by almost half to 3.6 — a rate not seen since the mid 1960s.

This information is quoted almost verbatim from TribLive.  The italics were added by me.  Thanks to a friend, Doug, for sending it to me.  Read the whole thing.  It’s pretty different from what you have been hearing.

Doug noted that “I’m pretty much agnostic on gun ownership (don’t own one myself), but this is worth a read whichever side of the issue you are on.”  Doug is not a drooling redneck with no front teeth.  In fact, he’s a Stanford graduate  (class of 1969 — the hippie era) and — as noted — does not own a gun.

The hurricane of hysteria following Newtown  is predicated on the assertion that removing guns from households will reduce “gun violence.”   (Oh, yes, it’s “gun violence” now, not “gun control,” because people don’t like to be “controlled.”)   Doesn’t seem that way, now does it?  Of particular interest is the data on robberies at gunpoint in high-gun states versus low-gun states.

I’ve stayed out of this gun argument because it’s a tar baby.  The “discussion” ended a long time ago; the anti-gun position is identified as the moral high ground by most of the Jesses*, and facts or reason no longer operate.  There seems to be no possibility of changing minds on either side of the question, however strong the evidence might be, so what’s the point?

Still, it is interesting now and then, just as an intellectual exercise, to look at the actual data and see if it supports one viewpoint or another.  Here, we learn that most of what we are being told by the anti-gun viewpoint is just not true.  As the TribLive article concluded:

The data, however, are very clear: There is no "wave of gun violence."

In fact, there is a lot less gun violence now than in past years. There is also no relationship between readily available firearms and levels of gun violence.

Given all of this, there are but two possibilities for the wave of gun-restricting legislation being newly discussed: Legislators are either woefully misinformed, which is unforgivable,  or they are using a terrible single event to justify their attempt to control the American people further — which is far worse.

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*  Jesse:  a superior consciousness that selects its opinions from an approved list of consensus-derived options deemed suitable for all right-thinking, highly-evolved beings, with a strong sense of tribal loyalty and and an unshakable faith in the incontrovertibility of their dogmas.

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